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Red165
368366.8
876422.5
111458.3
Blue119
316148.2
491743.8
876514.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1601076080120140180200220165119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.5
65.966.4
Auto17.0
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 18.6
48.20.3
48.648.9
Auto11.5
Teleop29.1
End7.5
Second
58.30.5
57.457.9
Auto14.2
Teleop33.8
End10.1
red by 14.5
43.80.3
44.344.5
Auto12.6
Teleop23.8
End7.3
Third
8764
#23
22.50.5
21.622.1
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End3.5
red by 8.0
8765
#24
14.60.3
14.314.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1