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Red100
260943.5
699210.5
467856.7
Blue110
909841.3
540943.8
702217.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118106406080140160100110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.3
56.055.7
Auto16.9
Teleop31.4
End8.2
red by 12.9
43.80.2
43.043.2
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End8.7
Second
43.50.3
42.942.6
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End6.8
red by 2.2
41.30.2
40.540.7
Auto9.6
Teleop22.7
End9.0
Third
6992
#28
10.50.3
9.99.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 7.4
7022
#21
17.90.2
17.117.3
Auto6.5
Teleop8.1
End3.3