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Red76
494022.8
461720.9
430824.0
Blue127
502445.8
495115.6
490759.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6111920408010014016076127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#21
24.00.8
22.523.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.9
End6.6
blue by 35.7
59.80.8
51.552.3
Auto14.8
Teleop35.7
End9.1
Second
4940
#19
22.80.8
23.324.1
Auto8.7
Teleop9.2
End5.0
blue by 23.0
45.80.8
39.440.3
Auto14.0
Teleop22.7
End9.1
Third
4617
#16
20.90.8
18.919.7
Auto9.9
Teleop4.9
End6.1
red by 5.3
4951
#27
15.60.8
13.614.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned