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Red123
492043.2
263433.1
611027.9
Blue68
878922.7
591231.4
461720.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886620408010012014012368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.21.9
34.336.1
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End6.9
red by 11.9
5912
#17
31.40.2
26.927.1
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Second
2634
#14
33.13.1
27.230.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End9.2
red by 10.4
8789
#15
22.70.2
18.118.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End6.1
Third
6110
#12
27.91.9
18.520.4
Auto9.7
Teleop10.6
End7.7
red by 7.0
4617
#16
20.90.2
19.719.9
Auto9.9
Teleop4.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned