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Red137
494643.8
808143.2
490344.1
Blue72
588527.7
492043.2
356016.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129725010015020013772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.2
35.236.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.4
End6.3
red by 0.9
43.20.5
36.135.6
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End6.9
Second
43.81.2
38.439.6
Auto12.9
Teleop23.8
End7.0
red by 16.1
5885
#18
27.70.5
23.022.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.2
End5.6
Third
43.21.2
40.041.2
Auto14.5
Teleop22.2
End6.6
red by 26.7
3560
#25
16.50.5
16.015.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed