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Red56
611027.9
495115.6
687523.4
Blue61
219817.7
672510.1
591231.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535502040801001205661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#12
27.90.0
20.320.3
Auto9.7
Teleop10.6
End7.7
blue by 3.5
5912
#17
31.40.6
28.328.9
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Second
6875
#11
23.40.0
16.917.0
Auto9.3
Teleop8.8
End5.3
red by 5.7
2198
#20
17.70.6
14.615.2
Auto8.0
Teleop5.1
End4.7
Third
4951
#27
15.60.0
13.213.2
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 5.4
6725
#28
10.10.6
8.89.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsEarned