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Red84
611027.9
461720.9
588527.7
Blue66
356016.5
494022.8
285227.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6971556065758085908466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#12
27.90.9
21.622.5
Auto9.7
Teleop10.6
End7.7
red by 0.3
2852
#13
27.60.1
26.426.4
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End7.9
Second
5885
#18
27.70.9
22.723.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.2
End5.6
red by 4.8
4940
#19
22.80.1
23.223.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.2
End5.0
Third
4617
#16
20.90.9
21.222.1
Auto9.9
Teleop4.9
End6.1
red by 4.4
3560
#25
16.50.1
17.117.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned