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Red86
461720.9
356016.5
502445.8
Blue104
492043.2
540820.1
591231.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86100608012014016086104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.80.2
43.944.2
Auto14.0
Teleop22.7
End9.1
red by 2.6
43.20.8
40.241.0
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End6.9
Second
4617
#16
20.90.2
21.822.1
Auto9.9
Teleop4.9
End6.1
blue by 10.4
5912
#17
31.40.8
31.332.1
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Third
3560
#25
16.50.2
16.917.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End5.8
blue by 3.6
5408
#23
20.10.8
20.621.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsMissed