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Red127
808143.2
490759.8
878922.7
Blue64
857416.9
687523.4
540820.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1163305010015020012764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.81.9
48.750.6
Auto14.8
Teleop35.7
End9.1
red by 36.4
6875
#11
23.41.5
13.515.0
Auto9.3
Teleop8.8
End5.3
Second
43.21.9
34.336.2
Auto14.5
Teleop22.2
End6.6
red by 23.1
5408
#23
20.11.5
16.017.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End5.1
Third
8789
#15
22.71.9
15.417.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End6.1
red by 5.8
8574
#24
16.91.7
12.213.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsEarned