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Red134
467864.6
219817.7
494643.8
Blue107
461720.9
492043.2
490344.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11675204060100140160180134107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.62.0
56.758.7
Auto17.8
Teleop39.0
End7.6
red by 20.5
44.12.1
29.231.3
Auto10.4
Teleop27.4
End6.3
Second
43.82.0
32.334.3
Auto12.9
Teleop23.8
End7.0
red by 0.6
43.22.1
29.831.9
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End6.9
Third
2198
#20
17.72.0
14.516.5
Auto8.0
Teleop5.1
End4.7
blue by 3.2
4617
#16
20.92.1
16.618.7
Auto9.9
Teleop4.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned