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Red101
672510.1
494643.8
611027.9
Blue81
219817.7
857416.9
468838.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837120406010012014010181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.81.6
44.345.9
Auto12.9
Teleop23.8
End7.0
red by 5.5
4688
#10
38.30.6
37.838.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.7
End6.3
Second
6110
#12
27.91.6
23.024.7
Auto9.7
Teleop10.6
End7.7
red by 10.2
2198
#20
17.70.5
16.817.3
Auto8.0
Teleop5.1
End4.7
Third
6725
#28
10.11.6
9.010.7
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End4.4
blue by 6.7
8574
#24
16.90.5
13.714.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned23%Activation oddsEarned