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Red59
607021.0
540820.1
263433.1
Blue116
687523.4
492043.2
285227.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8198406012014016059116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#14
33.11.4
35.834.4
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End9.2
blue by 10.1
43.21.7
41.042.7
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End6.9
Second
6070
#22
21.01.3
21.320.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.9
End5.7
blue by 6.5
2852
#13
27.61.7
27.128.8
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End7.9
Third
5408
#23
20.11.3
21.420.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End5.1
blue by 3.3
6875
#11
23.41.7
22.023.8
Auto9.3
Teleop8.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned