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Red66
878922.7
607021.0
219817.7
Blue56
495115.6
468838.3
672510.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63702040801001201406656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8789
#15
22.70.4
22.422.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.5
End6.1
blue by 15.5
4688
#10
38.30.6
38.437.8
Auto9.2
Teleop22.7
End6.3
Second
6070
#22DQ
21.00.4
20.020.4
Auto6.5
Teleop8.9
End5.7
red by 5.5
4951
#27
15.60.6
15.615.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Third
2198
#20
17.70.4
17.317.7
Auto8.0
Teleop5.1
End4.7
red by 7.6
6725
#28
10.10.6
10.710.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed