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Red77
77229.7
356016.5
430824.0
Blue81
494643.8
687523.4
461720.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711024060801201401601807781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#8
29.70.4
28.629.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End7.6
blue by 14.1
43.81.1
45.944.9
Auto12.9
Teleop23.8
End7.0
Second
4308
#21
24.00.4
24.925.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.9
End6.6
red by 0.6
6875
#11
23.41.0
23.822.7
Auto9.3
Teleop8.8
End5.3
Third
3560
#25
16.50.4
17.117.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End5.8
blue by 4.4
4617
#16
20.91.1
22.121.0
Auto9.9
Teleop4.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned