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Red73
672510.1
490344.1
356016.5
Blue94
611027.9
77229.7
607021.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74862040601001201401607394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.1
44.044.1
Auto10.4
Teleop27.4
End6.3
red by 14.4
772
#8
29.70.1
29.829.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End7.6
Second
3560
#25
16.50.1
16.516.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End5.8
blue by 11.4
6110
#12
27.90.1
28.128.2
Auto9.7
Teleop10.6
End7.7
Third
6725
#28
10.10.1
10.110.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.4
End4.4
blue by 10.9
6070
#22
21.00.1
21.221.3
Auto6.5
Teleop8.9
End5.7