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Red154
490759.8
559614.0
467864.6
Blue108
492043.2
808143.2
495115.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15310350200154108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.3
64.164.4
Auto17.8
Teleop39.0
End7.6
red by 21.3
43.20.1
43.643.7
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End6.9
Second
59.80.3
59.359.6
Auto14.8
Teleop35.7
End9.1
red by 16.6
43.20.1
43.643.7
Auto14.5
Teleop22.2
End6.6
Third
5596
#26
14.00.3
13.613.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End5.4
blue by 1.6
4951
#27
15.60.1
15.916.0
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End4.3