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Red84
494643.8
490344.1
356016.5
Blue79
285227.6
263433.1
430824.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11891501001502008479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.9
45.144.2
Auto10.4
Teleop27.4
End6.3
red by 11.0
2634
#14
33.10.3
34.434.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End9.2
Second
43.80.9
44.944.0
Auto12.9
Teleop23.8
End7.0
red by 16.2
2852
#13
27.60.3
28.828.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End7.9
Third
3560
#25
16.50.9
17.616.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End5.8
blue by 7.5
4308
#21
24.00.3
25.325.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.9
End6.6