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Red125
495115.6
808143.2
492043.2
Blue75
713630.0
494022.8
687523.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112745010015012575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.4
42.743.2
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End6.9
red by 13.3
30.00.0
29.329.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End9.0
Second
43.20.4
42.743.1
Auto14.5
Teleop22.2
End6.6
red by 19.8
6875
#11
23.40.0
22.722.7
Auto9.3
Teleop8.8
End5.3
Third
4951
#27
15.60.4
15.115.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End4.3
blue by 7.3
4940
#19
22.80.0
22.122.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.2
End5.0