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Red104
154037.6
646510.1
142544.1
Blue49
644330.2
404320.9
95529.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999040608012014010449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.3
43.944.2
Auto15.0
Teleop21.8
End6.8
red by 14.0
30.20.9
31.530.6
Auto11.7
Teleop15.3
End3.2
Second
37.60.3
37.437.6
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End7.3
red by 8.3
955
#10
29.30.9
30.629.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End7.5
Third
6465
#11
10.10.3
9.910.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End4.6
blue by 10.7
20.90.9
22.221.3
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End6.4