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Red92
154037.6
646510.1
142544.1
Blue46
135917.2
703431.9
237421.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101750501509246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.1
43.943.8
Auto15.0
Teleop21.8
End6.8
red by 12.2
31.90.9
32.731.8
Auto9.6
Teleop16.5
End5.8
Second
37.60.1
37.437.3
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End7.3
red by 15.8
21.80.9
22.621.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End6.1
Third
6465
#11
10.10.1
9.99.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End4.6
blue by 7.1
17.20.9
18.117.2
Auto7.5
Teleop3.1
End6.6