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Red90
363635.9
252139.7
281131.4
Blue138
135917.2
703431.9
237421.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1236505010015020025030090138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.5
40.239.7
Auto12.7
Teleop20.8
End5.5
red by 7.8
31.90.6
30.931.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.5
End5.8
Second
3636
#13
35.90.5
36.435.9
Auto6.3
Teleop21.4
End7.4
red by 14.1
21.80.6
20.721.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End6.1
Third
31.40.5
31.931.4
Auto14.5
Teleop12.6
End4.3
red by 14.2
17.20.6
16.316.9
Auto7.5
Teleop3.1
End6.6