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Red36
273314.9
644330.2
237421.8
Blue45
404320.9
252139.7
466211.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510002003004005003645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.22.4
29.326.9
Auto11.7
Teleop15.3
End3.2
blue by 9.5
39.73.0
51.948.9
Auto12.7
Teleop20.8
End5.5
Second
21.82.4
25.322.9
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End6.1
red by 0.9
20.93.0
25.822.8
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End6.4
Third
2733
#18
14.92.4
17.715.3
Auto6.9
Teleop5.5
End2.7
red by 3.3
4662
#12
11.63.0
12.99.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed