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Red40
299023.4
646510.1
703431.9
Blue95
95529.3
281131.4
135917.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611602003004004095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.93.5
35.431.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.5
End5.8
red by 0.5
31.44.0
40.336.2
Auto14.5
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Second
2990
#17
23.43.5
39.736.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End4.2
blue by 5.9
955
#10
29.34.0
46.642.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End7.5
Third
6465
#11
10.13.5
16.713.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End4.6
blue by 7.1
17.24.0
18.414.4
Auto7.5
Teleop3.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsMissed