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Red58
466211.6
142544.1
669614.0
Blue79
154037.6
252139.7
273314.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661350501001502002503005879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.7
46.345.6
Auto15.0
Teleop21.8
End6.8
red by 4.5
39.73.3
55.351.9
Auto12.7
Teleop20.8
End5.5
Second
6696
#15
14.00.7
9.18.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End5.0
blue by 23.6
37.63.3
42.939.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End7.3
Third
4662
#12
11.60.7
13.612.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End5.4
blue by 3.3
2733
#18
14.93.3
21.117.7
Auto6.9
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed57%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsMissed