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Red60
273314.9
703431.9
469218.7
Blue78
154037.6
404320.9
237421.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10512302003004005006006078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.93.0
44.040.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.5
End5.8
blue by 5.7
37.62.4
50.848.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.5
End7.3
Second
4692
#16
18.73.0
32.028.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End5.8
blue by 3.1
21.82.4
30.327.9
Auto7.4
Teleop8.6
End6.1
Third
2733
#18
14.93.0
24.721.6
Auto6.9
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 6.0
20.92.4
32.730.3
Auto9.3
Teleop5.4
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed