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Red55
142544.1
363635.9
99999.3
Blue72
252139.7
95529.3
644330.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11016502003004005005572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.15.1
51.446.3
Auto15.0
Teleop21.8
End6.8
red by 4.5
39.75.3
60.655.3
Auto12.7
Teleop20.8
End5.5
Second
3636
#13
35.95.1
55.650.5
Auto6.3
Teleop21.4
End7.4
red by 5.7
30.25.3
37.732.4
Auto11.7
Teleop15.3
End3.2
Third
9999
#14
9.38.5
19.611.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End4.7
blue by 20.0
955
#10
29.35.3
52.046.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsMissed93%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsMissed