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Red114
299051.0
135924.2
273324.7
Blue84
84719.9
404332.7
75329.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9486406012014016011484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.5
45.947.4
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End7.4
red by 18.4
4043
#12
32.70.5
30.930.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End6.7
Second
2733
#24
24.71.5
22.824.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.8
End6.2
blue by 4.7
753
#21
29.30.5
31.731.2
Auto6.5
Teleop18.5
End4.1
Third
1359
#14
24.21.5
18.519.9
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End8.1
red by 4.3
847
#26
19.90.5
19.018.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsMissed