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Red113
255020.9
469232.0
252157.3
Blue126
143230.0
281149.0
237430.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114106406080140160180113126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.1
54.554.6
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End9.4
red by 8.3
49.01.7
45.647.3
Auto16.4
Teleop24.9
End7.7
Second
4692
#15
32.00.1
31.531.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End8.6
red by 1.7
2374
#10
30.31.7
28.229.9
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End7.4
Third
2550
#29
20.90.1
20.120.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End4.8
blue by 9.1
30.01.7
26.428.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned