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Red120
408922.2
142543.0
363648.1
Blue114
703442.3
273324.7
469232.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119100050150200120114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#16
48.10.1
46.746.8
Auto8.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7
red by 5.8
42.30.1
41.341.4
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End9.1
Second
43.00.1
41.641.7
Auto15.7
Teleop20.0
End7.4
red by 11.0
4692
#15
32.00.1
31.031.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End8.6
Third
4089
#23
22.20.1
20.720.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End6.9
blue by 2.5
2733
#24
24.70.1
23.723.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.8
End6.2