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Red115
95541.4
289819.2
367439.3
Blue112
99733.3
247143.3
406028.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107108708090100120130140115112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#18
41.40.3
41.642.0
Auto10.0
Teleop24.1
End7.0
blue by 1.9
2471
#19
43.30.2
42.142.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
39.30.3
39.639.9
Auto12.2
Teleop18.1
End9.1
red by 6.1
997
#8
33.30.2
32.032.2
Auto9.6
Teleop14.5
End9.2
Third
2898
#25
19.20.3
19.519.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End6.2
blue by 9.3
4060
#17
28.50.2
27.327.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End9.5