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Red113
404332.7
237430.3
95731.3
Blue113
703442.3
273324.7
469232.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98103406080120140160113113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#12
32.70.4
32.232.7
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End6.7
blue by 9.6
42.30.4
41.441.8
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End9.1
Second
957
#11
31.30.4
30.931.3
Auto13.2
Teleop12.0
End6.1
blue by 0.7
4692
#15
32.00.4
31.131.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End8.6
Third
2374
#10
30.30.4
29.930.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End7.4
red by 5.7
2733
#24
24.70.4
23.824.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.8
End6.2