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Red161
406028.5
247143.3
99733.3
Blue87
143230.0
75329.3
263526.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112885010015016187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#19
43.30.8
42.343.1
Auto10.2
Teleop23.5
End9.6
red by 13.3
30.00.0
30.030.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End10.5
Second
997
#8
33.30.8
32.233.1
Auto9.6
Teleop14.5
End9.2
red by 3.9
753
#21
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto6.5
Teleop18.5
End4.1
Third
4060
#17
28.50.8
27.528.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End9.5
red by 1.8
2635
#22
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End7.7