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Red160
299051.0
252157.3
135924.2
Blue111
142543.0
363648.1
408922.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139113406080100160180160111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.4
55.656.0
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End9.4
red by 9.2
3636
#16
48.10.0
46.846.8
Auto8.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7
Second
51.00.4
49.449.8
Auto12.9
Teleop30.6
End7.4
red by 8.0
43.00.0
41.741.8
Auto15.7
Teleop20.0
End7.4
Third
1359
#14
24.20.4
22.522.9
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End8.1
red by 2.1
4089
#23
22.20.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End6.9