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Red63
263521.9
412513.3
299039.4
Blue82
142535.7
684516.7
404323.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828402040601001201401606382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.42.2
36.134.0
Auto8.8
Teleop22.6
End8.0
red by 3.7
35.71.3
32.230.9
Auto13.2
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Second
2635
#15
21.92.2
23.221.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End6.3
blue by 1.9
4043
#16
23.81.3
27.025.7
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End2.8
Third
4125
#28
13.32.2
18.116.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End4.2
blue by 3.4
6845
#26
16.70.8
19.518.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed