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Red64
95722.7
302412.3
75325.6
Blue101
669617.5
237421.6
363647.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5571020408010012064101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#27
25.61.1
17.718.8
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End4.2
blue by 22.2
47.73.5
39.543.0
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End8.0
Second
957
#22
22.71.1
20.621.7
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.7
red by 1.1
2374
#17
21.63.5
13.717.2
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End5.2
Third
3024
#25
12.31.1
15.516.6
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End4.3
blue by 5.2
6696
#23
17.52.1
11.013.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
14%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed