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Red85
466220.5
56814.3
247146.9
Blue117
597020.0
412721.8
204655.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729840608012014016085117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.91.6
37.038.6
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.6
blue by 8.7
55.62.6
47.450.0
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End7.6
Second
4662
#24
20.50.9
20.421.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End7.7
blue by 1.3
4127
#10
21.81.6
23.324.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End7.2
Third
568
#14
14.31.6
13.515.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End5.7
blue by 5.7
5970
#11
20.01.6
18.019.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned