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Red104
289817.6
466220.5
263521.9
Blue107
204655.6
363647.7
634319.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578702040100120140160104107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#15
21.92.8
18.421.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End6.3
blue by 33.7
55.62.7
33.035.8
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End7.6
Second
4662
#24
20.51.7
19.521.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End7.7
blue by 27.2
47.72.7
26.729.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End8.0
Third
2898
#18
17.62.8
19.322.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End4.4
blue by 2.3
19.92.7
17.820.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed