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Red69
448829.6
302412.3
247146.9
Blue26
56814.3
646515.4
684516.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69602040801006926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.90.6
29.630.2
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.6
red by 30.2
6845
#26
16.72.1
21.419.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End7.1
Second
29.60.4
17.117.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End6.1
red by 14.2
6465
#20
15.43.5
18.715.2
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
3024
#25
12.30.6
17.017.6
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End4.3
blue by 2.0
568
#14
14.33.5
17.313.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsMissed