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Red98
404323.8
299039.4
684516.7
Blue99
448829.6
75325.6
597514.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86732040601001201409899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.40.3
39.139.4
Auto8.8
Teleop22.6
End8.0
red by 9.9
29.60.6
29.730.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End6.1
Second
4043
#16
23.80.3
23.523.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End2.8
blue by 1.7
753
#27
25.60.6
25.726.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Third
6845
#26
16.70.3
16.416.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End7.1
red by 1.9
5975
#21
14.80.8
15.015.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End3.9