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Red123
669617.5
363647.7
204655.6
Blue140
247146.9
646515.4
142535.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13799406080120160180200123140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.4
56.656.2
Auto14.4
Teleop33.4
End7.6
red by 8.7
46.90.7
46.747.4
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.6
Second
47.70.3
48.648.2
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End8.0
red by 12.0
35.70.7
35.536.3
Auto13.2
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Third
6696
#23
17.50.3
18.418.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End4.9
red by 2.1
6465
#20
15.40.8
15.216.0
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End3.8