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Red106
237421.6
95722.7
154037.0
Blue106
684516.7
299039.4
404323.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85824060100120106106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.6
36.437.0
Auto7.5
Teleop19.8
End9.7
blue by 2.4
39.40.6
38.539.1
Auto8.8
Teleop22.6
End8.0
Second
957
#22
22.70.6
22.122.7
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.7
blue by 1.1
4043
#16
23.80.7
22.723.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.5
End2.8
Third
2374
#17
21.60.7
20.921.6
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End5.2
red by 4.9
6845
#26
16.70.6
15.716.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End7.1