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Red70
448829.6
75325.6
597514.8
Blue70
412721.8
263521.9
853226.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757570727374767070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.0
29.729.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.9
End6.1
red by 2.8
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.3
Second
753
#27
25.60.0
25.725.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End4.2
red by 3.6
2635
#15
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End6.3
Third
5975
#21
14.80.0
15.015.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End3.9
blue by 7.0
4127
#10
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End7.2