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Red110
142535.7
646515.4
247146.9
Blue74
154037.0
95722.7
237421.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068320406012014016011074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.90.3
46.446.7
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.6
red by 9.9
37.00.4
36.836.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.8
End9.7
Second
35.70.3
35.235.5
Auto13.2
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 13.0
957
#22
22.70.4
22.522.1
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Third
6465
#20
15.40.3
14.915.2
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End3.8
blue by 6.2
2374
#17
21.60.4
21.320.9
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End5.2