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Red114
142539.3
546833.3
299023.8
Blue147
281134.7
644336.0
95530.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041048090100110120130140114147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
39.30.4
38.939.3
Auto14.1
Teleop18.4
End6.7
red by 3.3
36.00.7
35.336.0
Auto13.7
Teleop17.0
End5.3
Second
33.30.4
32.933.3
Auto14.4
Teleop10.9
End8.1
blue by 1.4
34.70.7
34.034.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End8.5
Third
23.80.4
23.423.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.6
End6.9
blue by 6.6
955
#7
30.40.7
29.830.4
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End8.1