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Red63
142539.3
546833.3
299023.8
Blue121
281134.7
644336.0
95530.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510470809010011012013063121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
39.30.8
39.638.9
Auto14.1
Teleop18.4
End6.7
red by 3.3
36.00.4
34.935.3
Auto13.7
Teleop17.0
End5.3
Second
33.30.8
33.732.9
Auto14.4
Teleop10.9
End8.1
blue by 1.4
34.70.4
33.634.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End8.5
Third
23.80.8
24.223.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.6
End6.9
blue by 6.6
955
#7
30.40.4
29.429.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End8.1