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Red102
247144.0
273320.7
363632.0
Blue108
281134.7
644336.0
95530.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051038090100110120130140102108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.1
43.844.0
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End10.6
red by 8.0
36.00.1
34.834.9
Auto13.7
Teleop17.0
End5.3
Second
3636
#16
32.00.1
31.932.0
Auto4.7
Teleop18.5
End8.5
blue by 2.7
34.70.1
33.533.6
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End8.5
Third
20.70.1
20.620.7
Auto9.2
Teleop7.9
End3.8
blue by 9.7
955
#7
30.40.1
29.229.4
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End8.1