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Qual 112023 FIRST Chance
Red81
448827.4
281134.7
299023.8
Blue66
363632.0
999613.9
404324.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99720501502002508166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#4
34.70.5
32.6→32.1
Auto9.7
Teleop16.6
End8.5
red by 2.7
3636
#16
32.00.1
29.7→29.7
Auto4.7
Teleop18.5
End8.5
Second
4488
#23
27.40.5
31.9→31.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End5.7
red by 2.8
4043
#2
24.50.1
22.0→22.1
Auto10.1
Teleop5.3
End9.4
Third
2990
#8
23.80.5
23.9→23.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.6
End6.9
red by 9.9
9996
#17
13.90.1
13.1→13.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned