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Red58
142539.3
703421.4
999915.3
Blue43
469219.1
669615.5
466216.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions854101001502005843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
39.31.8
41.840.0
Auto14.1
Teleop18.4
End6.7
red by 20.2
4692
#12
19.10.0
15.515.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End7.8
Second
7034
#21
21.41.8
28.526.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End4.8
red by 5.3
4662
#14
16.10.0
13.213.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End7.4
Third
9999
#13
15.33.1
10.37.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End9.1
blue by 0.2
6696
#18
15.50.0
14.014.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed1%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsMissed