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Red106
299023.8
546833.3
154038.7
Blue47
237419.9
95530.4
999613.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047305015020010647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.2
38.438.6
Auto11.9
Teleop18.8
End8.0
red by 8.3
955
#7
30.42.3
28.426.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.0
End8.1
Second
33.30.2
32.032.2
Auto14.4
Teleop10.9
End8.1
red by 13.5
2374
#15
19.92.3
22.920.6
Auto10.3
Teleop5.5
End4.3
Third
23.80.2
23.223.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.6
End6.9
red by 9.9
9996
#17
13.93.9
15.711.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsMissed