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Qual 182023 FIRST Chance
Red99
404324.5
999915.3
669615.5
Blue96
448827.4
247144.0
75327.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261220501001502009996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#2
24.52.6
20.2→22.8
Auto10.1
Teleop5.3
End9.4
blue by 19.4
2471
#1
44.00.3
42.9→42.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End10.6
Second
6696
#18
15.52.6
12.1→14.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End6.0
blue by 12.0
753
#22
27.50.3
28.0→27.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Third
9999
#13
15.34.4
7.4→11.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End9.1
blue by 12.1
4488
#23
27.40.3
29.5→29.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
1%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed